Bayesian network model with Monte Carlo simulations for analysis of animal-related outages in overhead distribution systems.

dc.citation.doi10.1109/TPWRS.2010.2101619en_US
dc.citation.epage1624en_US
dc.citation.issue3en_US
dc.citation.jtitleIEEE Transactions on Power Systemsen_US
dc.citation.spage1618en_US
dc.citation.volume26en_US
dc.contributor.authorGui, Min
dc.contributor.authorPahwa, Anil
dc.contributor.authorDas, Sanjoy
dc.contributor.authoreidpahwaen_US
dc.date.accessioned2011-10-20T13:32:36Z
dc.date.available2011-10-20T13:32:36Z
dc.date.issued2011-02-04
dc.date.published2011en_US
dc.description.abstractThis paper extends previous research on using a Bayesian network model to investigate impacts of time (month) and weather (number of fair weather days in a week) on animal-related outages in distribution systems. Outage history (outages in the previous week) is included as an additional input to the model, and inputs and outputs are classified systematically to reduce errors in estimates of outputs. Conditional probability table obtained from the historical data are used to estimate weekly animal-related outages which is followed by a Monte Carlo simulation to find estimates of mean and confidence limits for monthly animal-related outages. Comparison of results obtained for four cities of different sizes in Kansas with those obtained using a hybrid wavelet/neural network model shows consistency between the two models. The methodology presented in this paper is simple to implement and useful for the utilities for year-end analysis of the outage data to identify specific reliability related concerns.en_US
dc.description.versionArticle (author version)
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/2097/12431
dc.relation.urihttp://doi.org/10.1109/TPWRS.2010.2101619en_US
dc.rightsThis Item is protected by copyright and/or related rights. You are free to use this Item in any way that is permitted by the copyright and related rights legislation that applies to your use. For other uses you need to obtain permission from the rights-holder(s).
dc.rights.urihttps://rightsstatements.org/page/InC/1.0/
dc.subjectAnimal-related failuresen_US
dc.subjectBayesian networken_US
dc.subjectMonte Carlo simulationen_US
dc.subjectPower distribution systemsen_US
dc.subjectPower system reliabilityen_US
dc.titleBayesian network model with Monte Carlo simulations for analysis of animal-related outages in overhead distribution systems.en_US
dc.typeTexten_US

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