Visualizing the influence of geography, oil and geopolitics on civil wars in the Arab world: A novel application of self-organizing maps and duration models

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dc.contributor.author Mostafa, Mohamed M.
dc.contributor.author Al-Hamdi, Mohaned T.
dc.date.accessioned 2014-12-02T18:39:07Z
dc.date.available 2014-12-02T18:39:07Z
dc.date.issued 2014-12-02
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/2097/18765
dc.description.abstract The aim of this paper is to investigate why some internal conflicts are terminated quickly, while others linger for several decades without a looming resolution in the horizon. In an attempt to achieve this objective, the role played by geopolitical factors in the Arab world's internal conflicts was investigated. More specifically, we used Kohonen self-organizing maps, an artificial intelligence-based neural network technique, along with event duration models to investigate the role played by distance from the capital, access to international borders, terrain, valuable natural resources such as oil, and rebels fighting capability in civil wars in the Arab world. Using recently validated data spanning more than 50 years of Arab civil wars (1948–2003), our findings indicate that previously ignored geopolitical factors seem to play an important role in the duration of internal conflicts in the Arab World. en_US
dc.language.iso en_US en_US
dc.relation.uri http://doi.org/10.1080/13698249.2014.927704 en_US
dc.rights This Item is protected by copyright and/or related rights. You are free to use this Item in any way that is permitted by the copyright and related rights legislation that applies to your use. For other uses you need to obtain permission from the rights-holder(s). en_US
dc.rights.uri http://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/
dc.subject Arab civil wars en_US
dc.subject Duration models en_US
dc.subject Self-organizing maps en_US
dc.subject Geopolitics en_US
dc.subject Oil resources en_US
dc.title Visualizing the influence of geography, oil and geopolitics on civil wars in the Arab world: A novel application of self-organizing maps and duration models en_US
dc.type Article (author version) en_US
dc.date.published 2014 en_US
dc.citation.doi 10.1080/13698249.2014.927704 en_US
dc.citation.epage 254 en_US
dc.citation.issue 2 en_US
dc.citation.jtitle Civil Wars en_US
dc.citation.spage 239 en_US
dc.citation.volume 16 en_US
dc.contributor.authoreid alhamdi en_US


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This Item is protected by copyright and/or related rights. You are free to use this Item in any way that is permitted by the copyright and related rights legislation that applies to your use. For other uses you need to obtain permission from the rights-holder(s). Except where otherwise noted, the use of this item is bound by the following: This Item is protected by copyright and/or related rights. You are free to use this Item in any way that is permitted by the copyright and related rights legislation that applies to your use. For other uses you need to obtain permission from the rights-holder(s).

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